Thursday, February 10, 2011

Where will be the next revolution?

After Egypt, likelihood of another mass revolution is increasing in the Middle East.  Time publishes a research study on the likelihood of the next revolution under the grip of dictators based on factors such "as press freedom, free elections and civil liberties on the one hand, and the countries' history of repression and democracy on the other". The study will be soon published at Journal of Conflict Resolution. What are the factors that you need to consider that will ignite the next revolution around you?

Time reports,
"...a detailed survey of 90 different countries, factoring together such variables as press freedom, free elections and civil liberties on the one hand, and the countries' history of repression and democracy on the other. That balance is never the same in any two places, and even subtle differences can have a powerful impact. The U.K., for example, is an open democracy by almost any measure, but its newspapers still labor under a strict set of libel laws, placing the burden of proof on the press to show it has not defamed someone. Apart from that, the press is extremely free. Implement the exact same system in China — where the government maintains tight control over the media — and there would be huzzahs at the new openness. Implement it in the U.S. and there would be howls".